We’ll finish top 4 ![]()
Well that is a crummy way to deal with a guy that got you back to the top flight. I’m really surprised La Real’s manager wasn’t first. He will be soon if things don’t change.
There he goes
Since I often tend to remember the spring/summer part of a season more than the fall/winter, I figured i’d make this poll of the (almost) first half of the season as to make sure both halves will count equally. Which player has so far been the signing of the season?
- Mendy
- Alfon
- Suazo
- Cardoso
- Azpi
- Alexis
- Odysseas
- Manu Bueno
- Ramón Martínez
- Castrin
- Oso
Vlachodimos I think has been the most impactful signing. Azpi & Suazo fall slightly behind in second & third in my eyes, both let down by injuries.
I went with Mendy, although it was really tough for me between him and Vlachodimos. Mendy, to me, provides something that we didn’t have in the midfield and was desperately needed. His minutes have piled up as a result; however, the same exact thing can be said about the Greek.
My choice was Mendy also. As Chris said, he gives us something else in midfield.
Vlachodimos, Suazo and Azpi have all done well also.
None of our signings have been bad to be fair and have improved us from last season!
I also had Azpi in second…interesting that everyone seems to agree that while he may not be revolutionary, Azpi is an essential improvement in defense
Third kits used: 4 Elche
I went back and reviewed my predictions…unfortunately I am too close to hitting the mark. Only missing the top portion with Bilbao and :poop: by one spot. For the bottom of the table we are currently 17th and I had us at 18th. It does not seem to be out of the question for this to happen. I pray we stay up, but am even more pessimistic about the remaining matches
I went 17th. We currently 17th and just want season to end! lol ![]()
I hope you are right.
How are you feeling now mate about our survival chances?
Same but right now we in the relegation zone. We have to do it ourselves to get out. Scary times!
Inspired by @jdecourcey ‘s question, I’m definitely eating humble pie on my 10th place finish projection, although it’s still technically feasible, we’ll see where that lands. But without further ado, I had AI try to project the final scoring of the predictions and what points are already in the bag, so here goes:
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The data has been scraped, the hallucination engines have been fired up, and the totally objective, completely infallible AI adjudication of Monchi’s Men is ready.
Here is the exact scoring methodology applied to the thread’s madness:
The League Table: 1 point for every correct team in the Top 6 (unordered) and Bottom 3 (unordered).
The Exact Placements: 1 point for nailing Sevilla or
’s exact final position, with 0.5 points for being within one spot.
The Hardware: 1 point each for correct Cup winners, Top Scorers, Best Player, and Best Signing.
The Prop Bets: 1 point each for correctly guessing the Marcao/Nianzou over/under, the third kit count, manager sackings, foreign games, and all the auxiliary questions.
“Already Bagged” Points (The Locked Standings)
We don’t need to wait until May to hand out a few points. These are mathematically secured as of Matchday 30:
The Marcao & Nianzou Ironmen Award: By September 12, the duo miraculously smashed through the 2-hour combined threshold. +1 Point to literally everyone who submitted a full ballot (RyanMoore, jdecourcey, Mark_L, Edinho, ChrisLail, Niller, keepingitrealistic). Not a single person dared to vote ‘No’.
The First Sacking: Paunović was officially bounced from Oviedo in early October. +1 Point to RyanMoore and Edinho for correctly diagnosing that impending disaster. Niller’s guess of “the one from Levante” and ChrisLail’s swing at Sergio Francisco are officially busts.
Current Locked Leaderboard:
RyanMoore: 2 pts
Edinho: 2 pts
The Field: 1 pt
(Note: The “Third Kit” usage hit 4 back in January. If it stays exactly there, RyanMoore and ChrisLail will lock another point, but the season isn’t over yet.)
Projected Final Standings (The Likely Finish)
If we project the current Matchday 30 reality out to the end of the season—with Barça and Real Madrid locking down the top, Sevilla hovering miserably around 15th, and Mbappé pacing the scoring charts—here is how the final analytics shake out:
1. Edinho (~14.5 Projected Points) Edinho is the current heavy favorite for the crown. Nailing the Paunović sack provided an early edge, and his Top 6 (Barça, RM, Atleti, Villarreal, :poop:, Real Sociedad) and Bottom 3 (Girona, Levante, Oviedo) are tracking extremely well. His prediction of 11th for Sevilla might be slightly too optimistic, but having Mbappé as top scorer gives him an incredibly high floor.
2. RyanMoore (~13.5 Projected Points) Tied for the lead in the clubhouse right now, but dragged down by start-of-season optimism. Predicting a 10th place finish for Sevilla is mathematically bleeding points right now, and betting on Lukébakio as the club’s top scorer might require a late-season miracle. However, the comprehensive Top 6 picks and banking on Mbappé keeps the overall score highly competitive.
3. keepingitrealistic (~13 Projected Points) The ultimate dark horse. Living up to the username, the prediction of a 16th place finish for Sevilla is looking terrifyingly accurate right now (worth a full point if they drop one spot, or 0.5 if they stay 15th). Combining that bleak realism with a solid Top 6 and Bottom 3 gives this ballot massive late-season upside.
4. Mark_L (~11.5 Projected Points) A masterclass in hedging. The internal battle of initially predicting 18th and then aggressively revising it to 17th might actually pay off with partial points. The core table predictions are solid, but relying on Vargas as the club’s best player and top scorer is dragging down the projection.
5. Niller (~11 Projected Points) The thread’s founder is suffering from a few wild swings. Missing the first manager sacked hurts, and banking on Rayo Vallecano as the Conference League winner and surprise package is likely going to yield zero points. Still, a perfectly acceptable Top 6 and a relatively measured 12th place prediction for Sevilla keeps the total respectable.
6. jdecourcey (~9.5 Projected Points) The absolute bedrock of pessimism. The prediction of an 18th place relegation finish for Sevilla felt hyperbolic in August but is uncomfortably close to reality in April. The total score ceiling is severely capped by not participating in the extended prop questions, but there is a strange, sad validation in how accurate the negative vibes were.
Third kits used: 5 away Villarreal. I’ll make a double check… I might have missed some.
Asked AI to run the numbers again as of today. Not sure if I trust it (also, my additional prediction didn’t get full compliance, so not sure if AI is ignoring those totally or giving bonus points to the folks who completed the added predictions), so check its math, but interesting analysis nonetheless.
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The Revised Matchday 36 Leaderboard
1. Edinho (Current Leader)
Edinho takes the top spot by combining solid foundational picks with an incredibly accurate Sevilla projection. He grabbed early points by correctly diagnosing Paunović as the first managerial casualty and banking on Mbappé for the Pichichi. His prediction of 11th for Sevilla is currently yielding 0.5 partial points (since they sit in 12th), keeping his floor exceptionally high.
2. Niller (Surging)
The thread’s founder jumps massive spots up the rankings entirely on the back of his Sevilla prediction. Niller called a 12th-place finish back in August, which is currently a dead-center bullseye worth a full point. While his bold swing on Rayo Vallecano being the Conference League winner didn’t yield anything, his Top 6 grouping is respectable enough to make him a serious contender for the crown.
3. RyanMoore
Your start-of-season optimism is actually aging quite well, even if you are just missing the placement points. You predicted 10th for Sevilla, so you currently miss out on the exact/proximity points with them sitting in 12th, but you’re far closer than the relegation-callers. Grabbing the early point for the Paunović sacking and holding a strong Top 6 projection keeps you firmly on the podium.
4. keepingitrealistic
The dark horse model has officially collapsed. Predicting a 16th-place finish looked mathematically plausible a few weeks ago, but Sevilla’s recent run completely blew up this ballot. The user is still scraping by on the strength of a decent Top 6 and successfully calling Oviedo’s relegation, but the hardware is slipping away.
5. Mark_L
The masterclass in hedging failed. The late edit from 18th to 17th for Sevilla is going to yield zero points now that the club has surged to safety. Like keepingitrealistic, Mark is being buoyed purely by correctly diagnosing the bottom of the table (Levante and Oviedo), but relying on Vargas for the golden boot dragged the total score down.
6. jdecourcey
The absolute bedrock of pessimism remains at the bottom of the pile. The 18th-place relegation call was a dark timeline that Sevilla officially avoided (I spot a hallucination!!!). By opting out of the auxiliary prop bets back in August, there just wasn’t enough point-gathering potential here once the core prediction fell apart.
So to conclude on our predictions we need both a vote on the best SFC-signing (including canteras with less than 10 games at the start of the season) and a vote on the best SFC-player overall during this season. Let’s start with the best Sevilla FC-signing here. I’d say we will end the vote in a week.
- Alfon
- Suazo
- Azpi
- Alexis
- Cardoso
- Mendy
- Odysseas
- Maupay
- Oso
- Castrin
- Manu Bueno
- Ramon Martinez
And the poll for the best player overall this season. There was a limit on 20 players in the poll, so I have allowed myself to limit the options based on minutes played. That means cutting out Nianzou, Jordan and Januzaj. I hope that doesn’t conflict with someones vote…:
- Odysseas
- Carmona
- Azpi
- Kike Salas
- Gudelj
- Suazo
- Marcao
- Castrin
- Oso
- Vargas
- Juanlu
- Agoumé
- Mendy
- Sow
- Isaac
- Akor
- Alexis
- Peque
- Maupay
- Ejuke
Right! I’ve been gathering together all the results of the predictions to help Ryan’s robot-friend and I guess it is now time for it to analyze all of our answers and make it conclude on a grand winner. I think it we should make it calculate and display how many points each of us has been given if possible to make sure it is all transparent:
Top 6
- Barcelona
- Real Madrid
- Villareal
- Atletico Madrid
- Real :poop:
- Celta Vigo
Bottom 3
18. Mallorca
19. Girona
20. Real Oviedo
Sevilla FC final position in the table: 13
final position in the table: 5
Topscorer La Liga: Kylian Mbappe
Topscorer La Liga (Sevilla FC): Akor Adams
Copa del Rey winner: Real Sociedad
Champions League winner: PSG
Europa League winner: Aston Villa
Conference League winner: Crystal Palace
Best signing Sevilla FC (including canteras with LESS than 10 games as per today): Odysseas
Best player overall (Sevilla FC): Odysseas
How many managers will be sacked during the season (Sevilla FC)?: 1
How many times will we be wearing the 3rd-kit in La Liga?: 6
How many official games with participation of Sevilla FC will be played in a foreign (ie NOT Spain) country: 0
Will Nianzou and Marcao play a combined total of more than 2 hours of football (Copa del Rey and La Liga)?: Yes.
Who will be the first La Liga manager to be sacked?: Veljko Paunovic (Real Oviedo)
Which player will win the “Zarra Trophy” (top Spanish scorer in La Liga)?: Lamine Yamal/Ferran Torres
What will be the final score of the highest-scoring Getafe home game of the season?: 3-1 against Mallorca
Which team will be the “surprise package” of the season, finishing at least 4 places higher than most pundits predict?: @RyanMoore I’m not sure how to determine this. So be my guest.
Over/Under 15.5 total cards (yellows + reds) issued in the two El Gran Derbi league matches between Sevilla and
?: Under (6 in the first, 6 in the second)
Will Diego Simeone wear an outfit that is NOT entirely black for a La Liga touchline appearance?: I haven’t checked. Probably no.
Which is more likely to happen this season:
wins a trophy or Joaquín runs for mayor of El Puerto de Santa María? @RyanMoore I don’t know.